Portfolio Manager Prediction Markets

Job Summary

Leading the investment process for a dedicated prediction markets strategy, the full-time Portfolio Manager Prediction Markets will manage P&L, oversee a global team of traders, and collaborate with quantitative research and engineering teams to enhance proprietary models in a remote environment.

Key Responsibilities

• Own the prediction markets P&L by setting strategy, managing risk limits, and overseeing position sizing
• Lead the full investment process including idea generation, model validation, and post-trade analysis
• Build and manage a team of traders and analysts, setting research priorities and developing talent

Required Qualifications

• Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with P&L accountability
• Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, or closely related domains
• Strong quantitative foundation in probability, Bayesian inference, and statistical modeling
• Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals
• Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline